2022 Review and 2023 Outlook

2022 Review and 2023 Outlook The S&P 500 Index did rally in the fourth quarter gaining 7.56% but still finished the year down 18.11%. The last year with a negative return for the S&P 500 was 2018 (down 4.38%). The last year with a double-digit negative return...

2022 Third Quarter Review and Outlook

2022 Third Quarter Review and Outlook The S&P 500 finished the third quarter down 4.88% and down 23.87% for the year. The decline in stock prices is primarily due to a compression of stock price earnings multiples due to rising interest rates.  The Federal Reserve...

2022 First Half Review and Outlook

2022 First Half Review and Outlook Through the first half of the year the S&P 500 has returned -19.96%. The financial markets are expecting the Federal Reserve to continue to raise interest rates to drive down inflation and cause a recession. The increase in...

May Market Update

May Market Update Stocks have fallen sharply this year and are now in a correction due to concerns about inflation and Federal Reserve monetary policy. On May 11th, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April reported an 8.3% increase year over year. This was higher than...

2022 First Quarter Review and Outlook

2022 First Quarter Review and Outlook The S&P 500 finished the first quarter of 2022 down 4.67%. It was a volatile first quarter and on March 8th the S&P 500 was down 12.6% for the year. The negative returns were driven by high inflation (7.9% in February) and...

2021 Review and 2022 Outlook

2021 Review and 2022 Outlook Keep an Eye on Inflation and Federal Reserve Policy   It was another great year of returns for most equity indexes. In 2021, the S&P 500 index returned 28.71%. This return was powered by an accommodative Federal Reserve, a...