2020 Review and 2021 Outlook

It was another strong year of returns for most major asset classes. In 2020, the S&P 500 Index returned 18.40%. This return was generated despite a global pandemic that caused U.S. second quarter real gross domestic product to decrease at an annual rate of 32.9%....

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2020 Third Quarter Review and Outlook

The third quarter was another strong quarter for the stock market. The S&P 500 Index returned 8.93% for the third quarter, although it ended the quarter on a sour note. The index was down in September, the first down month since March. In the fourth quarter, we...

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2020 First Half Review and Outlook

In a sign that the stock market is forward looking, the S&P 500 Index returned 20.54% in the second quarter. This large return happened despite an almost complete shutdown of the economy due to coronavirus and one of the sharpest declines in GDP since the Great...

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2020 First Quarter Review and Outlook

During the first quarter of 2020, the S&P 500 tumbled 35% from an all-time high. The February drop in the market was faster and deeper than the crashes of 1987 and 1929. The coronavirus has disrupted the global economy and people’s daily lives. The coronavirus has...

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Market Update

In our year end letter, we cautioned that clients should be emotionally prepared for a decline of close to 20%. Due to a risk that was so unexpected that it wasn’t even considered a possibility the market has dropped over 20% for the year....

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